Confirmed previous forecast
0.000191
Relative Brier Score
3
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(-5%)
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
Winning the election in Russia looks like a sure thing.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
There would have to be an extraordinary, and unlikely event to prevent Putin from being president on May 1st.
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
5%
Yes
No serious contender in the upcoming elections. Healthy and engaged.
Files