Confirmed previous forecast
0.867672
Relative Brier Score
4
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
70%
(0%)
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
70%
(+40%)
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
As tension rises, some Muslim countries might find common ground in pursuing similar goals in the Eastern Mediterranean area.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Propably the above mentioned thought will take place through informal channels and Muslim countries that want to cooperate with Israel will avoid to sign any formal document.
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
Yes
It seems quite unlikely to happen, as the region will face new tention arising from the Turkish upcoming elections, the political agenda of PM Netanyahu and the energy crisis of the the following winter.
Files
Iran isn't the primal target for the moment, as the center of conflict slides over African disputes.