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Rene
made their 11th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
99% (+1%)
Yes
1% (-1%)
No

Brazil and Spain under scrutiny for their ambiguous behavior. It only proves that the battle is over and Maduro has won. Keeping 1% for death by natural causes.

"...they have also avoided endorsing opposition candidate Edmundo Gonzalez’s claims that he won the race, fostering backlash at home and abroad from critics who say their alarmism about democracy should apply as equally to Venezuela’s socialist regime as it does to the far-right movements making gains from Europe to the Americas.

Sanchez, in particular, has found himself under intensifying scrutiny since his government struck a deal with Venezuela that allowed Gonzalez to flee to Spain earlier this month.

While the agreement granted Gonzalez asylum, it also removed the biggest hurdle facing Maduro’s quest to remain in power and cast a spotlight on the Spanish left’s links to the regime: Jose Luis Rodriguez Zapatero, the former prime minister and Sanchez partymate who led the talks with Caracas, has long expressed sympathy for the Venezuelan government.

Sanchez’s government is now facing fierce blowback over the release of photos showing that Spain allowed Maduro acolytes Delcy and Jorge Rodriguez into its ambassadors’ residence to negotiate Gonzalez’s exit, especially after Gonzalez said he was forced to sign a document accepting a court ruling that recognized Maduro’s victory.

The episode has raised questions about the underlying intent of Spain’s strategy, and led an opposition leader in parliament to call for the resignation of Sanchez’s foreign affairs minister.

(...)

Lula has similarly advocated for a diplomatic resolution after years of arguing that the sanctions-heavy campaign waged by the U.S. disproportionately hurt ordinary Venezuelans while failing to loosen Maduro’s grip on power.

But he has struggled to overcome the perception that his long friendship with Maduro, whom he cast last year as a victim of a global "narrative,” is clouding Brazil’s approach."

https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2024/09/25/world/politics/brazil-spain-criticism-maduro/



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