Reducing massively as the pace is way behind what we need for the "yes" answer. @michal_dubrawski makes a perfect explanation here: https://www.randforecastinginitiative.org/comments/143334

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ctsats
made a comment:

There does not seem to be any "pace" as much as actual bursts: we had 2 additions in Jan 2023, then 11 months of nothing (Feb-Dec), then 6 (!) new additions in January 2024 alone... https://www.randforecastinginitiative.org/comments/132886

So, hedging (instead of early extremizing) may be a good idea here...

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