16 cases so far, latest one on 25 November. Two cases added in the past 10 days.
Extrapolation would still be highest bin (rounded up to 90), and there might also be some reporting lag. Extrapolating only last 10 days (2*36.5) would end up at 73. Still no direct connection to the election to be seen.
It´s "german language" filter on the site according to resolution criteria, and that´s 16 cases since 1 October. You are right about this: only one single case having more or less to do with the next election in February. This question and it´s resolution site don´t belong together too much...
Sorry if I'm misunderstanding - what is the second case listed nice Nov 20 other than the one I mentioned? I do see 16 cases since Oct 1 but I don't see the "two cases added in the past 10 days" you mentioned
Now I think, we´ve got it: I meant "added to the list in the last 10 days since my last forecast". That does not mean event dates, it´s about publishing dates.
16 cases so far, latest one on 25 November. Two cases added in the past 10 days.
Extrapolation would still be highest bin (rounded up to 90), and there might also be some reporting lag. Extrapolating only last 10 days (2*36.5) would end up at 73. Still no direct connection to the election to be seen.
https://euvsdisinfo.eu/disinformation-cases/?disinfo_language[]=German