Confirmed previous forecast
-1.653907
Relative Brier Score
288
Forecasts
58
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 1021 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 110 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 137 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 164 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will the Lebanese parliament elect a president by 31 December 2023?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
99%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(-1%)
Yes
98%
(+1%)
No
Time
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
4%
(-1%)
Yes
96%
(+1%)
No
Time
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(-1%)
Yes
Time
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Yes
97%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Dec 17, 2023 09:00PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
30%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 17, 2023 to Dec 17, 2023
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
(0%)
2023 Q2
0%
(0%)
2023 Q3
0%
(0%)
2023 Q4
1%
(0%)
2024 Q1
2%
(0%)
2024 Q2
Confirmed previous forecast
Files