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2020 Season
2023 Season
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2024 Season
Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Africa
China Lithography
Cybersecurity
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
East Asia Security
Economic Debt
Future Bowl
Government Investment
Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
Manufacturing
metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
Russian Disinformation
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
Syria
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Jan 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
Will China announce an end to its zero Covid policy by 31 December 2022?
-0.003176
Dec 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 3, 2022 and Dec 3, 2022)
0.000037
Nov 28, 2022 03:46PM UTC
Will Jair Bolsonaro formally contest the results of the 2022 Brazilian presidential election by 31 December 2022?
-0.01536
Nov 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 3, 2022 and Nov 3, 2022)
0.0
Oct 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 3, 2022 and Oct 3, 2022)
0.000107
Sep 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Aug 3, 2022 and Sep 3, 2022)
0.000194
Aug 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Jul 3, 2022 and Aug 3, 2022)
0.000019
Jul 29, 2022 01:55PM UTC
How much revenue will Intel report for the second quarter of 2022?
-0.287721
Jul 21, 2022 01:00PM UTC
How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for June 2022?
-0.158363
Jul 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Jun 3, 2022 and Jul 3, 2022)
-0.000167
Jun 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between May 3, 2022 and Jun 3, 2022)
-0.000116
Jun 02, 2022 01:40PM UTC
What will be the price per ton of aluminum on 1 June 2022?
0.06968
May 31, 2022 03:08PM UTC
Will the United States have the world's fastest supercomputer in June 2022?
0.003374
May 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Apr 3, 2022 and May 3, 2022)
0.000407
Apr 03, 2022 10:00PM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin’s approval rating drop below 50% in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Mar 3, 2022 and Apr 3, 2022)
-0.01481
Mar 01, 2022 05:00AM UTC
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea between September 1, 2021 and February 28, 2022, inclusive?
-0.002369
Feb 28, 2022 03:38PM UTC
Will Russia invade Ukraine by December 31, 2022?
-0.15304
Feb 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 17, 2022 and Feb 17, 2022)
-0.017365
Jan 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 17, 2021 and Jan 17, 2022)
0.016542
Jan 17, 2022 11:00AM UTC
Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 17, 2021 and Jan 17, 2022)
-0.007229
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