Confirmed previous forecast
0.038055
Relative Brier Score
2
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0
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New Prediction
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
30%
(0%)
Yes
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My First Question
Congratulations on making your first forecast!
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
30%
Yes
As long as the Ukraine, Gaza and Syrian conflicts do not come to a reasonable start of conclusion it will be hard for |Russian federation to change guards
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