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Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
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INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
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Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
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Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
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semiconductors
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U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Apr 28, 2022 04:00AM UTC
What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2022 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?
-0.185438
Jan 31, 2022 02:28PM UTC
How many new H-1B visa applications submitted by the "Big 5" tech companies will the U.S. grant between October 1, 2020 and September 30, 2021, inclusive?
-0.355038
Jan 03, 2022 01:41PM UTC
What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2021?
-0.255263
Jul 30, 2021 11:11AM UTC
What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the first two quarters (January 1 through June 30) of 2021?
0.071669
Jun 01, 2021 06:44PM UTC
Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army invade Taiwan by May 31, 2021?
0.00028
Apr 10, 2021 03:56AM UTC
How many times will the Japanese Air Force respond to threats to Japan's territorial airspace by Chinese military aircraft between April 1, 2020 and March 31, 2021, inclusive?
0.191497
Apr 01, 2021 04:51PM UTC
How much will the U.S. Department of Defense spend on AI research contracts between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?
-0.113932
Mar 18, 2021 06:27PM UTC
What percentage of software engineer job postings between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive, will allow for remote work?
0.126324
Feb 05, 2021 05:35PM UTC
What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2020?
0.010598
Feb 01, 2021 02:49PM UTC
How much new funding will facial recognition companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?
-0.229024
Feb 01, 2021 02:48PM UTC
How much funding will private U.S. tech companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?
0.850313
Feb 01, 2021 02:47PM UTC
How much funding will U.S. tech startups raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?
0.278661
Jan 04, 2021 01:58PM UTC
What will the ratio of AI publications to machine learning research job postings be for Apple, Amazon, Facebook, Google, and Microsoft, combined, in 2020?
-0.231258
Jan 04, 2021 01:49PM UTC
What percentage of AI papers posted on arXiv will be in the field of computer vision between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?
-0.01596
Nov 13, 2020 04:08PM UTC
When will China officially recognize a winner of the U.S. presidential election?
0.0324
Nov 03, 2020 02:25PM UTC
Will any private messages obtained in the July 15, 2020 Twitter hack be leaked to the public by November 2, 2020?
1.451934
Oct 31, 2020 03:04PM UTC
What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the third quarter of 2020 (ending September 30)?
-0.049877
Oct 21, 2020 02:47PM UTC
What percentage of O-1 visas will go to Chinese nationals between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
0.08758
Oct 20, 2020 01:16PM UTC
How many postings for U.S. jobs requiring machine learning skills will be published between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
-0.067649
Oct 15, 2020 04:00AM UTC
Will the United States add SMIC to the Entity List by October 14, 2020?
1.179979
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