Chao

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0.094087

Relative Brier Score

3

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 1 42 36 69
Comments 0 0 0 0 19
Questions Forecasted 0 1 6 6 13
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 0
 Definitions
New Badge
Chao
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Chao
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Oct 24, 2024 09:05PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0% (0%)
Yes
Sep 24, 2024 to Mar 24, 2025
100% (0%)
No
Sep 24, 2024 to Mar 24, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Chao
made their 9th forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Oct 24, 2024 09:05PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1% (0%)
Yes
Sep 24, 2024 to Mar 24, 2025
99% (0%)
No
Sep 24, 2024 to Mar 24, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Chao
made their 9th forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
1% (0%)
Kuwait
1% (0%)
Oman
1% (0%)
Qatar
5% (0%)
Saudi Arabia
1% (0%)
Tunisia
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Badge
Chao
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Chao
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Sep 17, 2024 07:26PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
Yes
Aug 17, 2024 to Feb 17, 2025
100%
No
Aug 17, 2024 to Feb 17, 2025

No signs they are currently preparing to do so.

Files
New Prediction
Chao
made their 8th forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Sep 17, 2024 07:25PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1% (-1%)
Yes
Aug 17, 2024 to Feb 17, 2025
99% (+1%)
No
Aug 17, 2024 to Feb 17, 2025

updated

Files
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