Confirmed previous forecast
2.007641
Relative Brier Score
18
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 2 | 19 | 18 | 20 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 10 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
27%
(0%)
Yes
Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025
73%
(0%)
No
Nov 2, 2024 to May 2, 2025
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
80%
Yes
20%
No
He is not going to voluntarily leave his position.
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Nov 1, 2024 11:50AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
1%
(0%)
Yes
Oct 1, 2024 to Apr 1, 2025
99%
(0%)
No
Oct 1, 2024 to Apr 1, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
35%
Togo
35%
Any other African country with no previous Wagner or Africa Corps operations
I do not think they will be officially deployed in any other countries due to resource issues.
Files
Full-blown war with Israel seems imminent due to recent events.