Because he is not going to surrender power in his lifetime by choice.
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New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
80%
Yes
20%
No
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
(+5%)
Estonia
15%
(+5%)
Latvia
15%
(+5%)
Lithuania
The Putin regime is already overextended in the protracted war against Ukraine, and is not likely to open up new fronts.
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Jul 2, 2024 07:53PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
25%
(0%)
Yes
Jun 2, 2024 to Jun 2, 2025
75%
(0%)
No
Jun 2, 2024 to Jun 2, 2025
I don't think the State of Israel will extend its resources to fight on two fronts in this way within the time frame.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
(0%)
Yes
85%
(0%)
No
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
This forecast expired on Sep 2, 2024 07:51PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
35%
(0%)
Yes
Jun 2, 2024 to Jun 2, 2025
65%
(0%)
No
Jun 2, 2024 to Jun 2, 2025
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
I do not think they will be officially deployed in any other countries due to resource issues.