Confirmed previous forecast
-0.000168
Relative Brier Score
2
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
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| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
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| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
Yes
Because Putin has destroyed all political opposition and appears to face no internal competitor for power within the elite
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