I don't think any of these countries will acknowledge Israel since they strongly dislike Israel.
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Probability
Answer
0%
Kuwait
0%
Oman
0%
Qatar
0%
Saudi Arabia
1%
Tunisia
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This forecast expired on Nov 10, 2024 06:15PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
Yes
Oct 10, 2024 to Apr 10, 2025
100%
No
Oct 10, 2024 to Apr 10, 2025
Why do you think you're right?
Those countries dislike Isreal.
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Why might you be wrong?
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This forecast expired on Nov 10, 2024 06:13PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
20%
Yes
Oct 10, 2024 to Apr 10, 2025
80%
No
Oct 10, 2024 to Apr 10, 2025
Why do you think you're right?
I don't think they would invade because I don't think it would be good for China with international trade
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Why might you be wrong?
I don't know a lot about Taiwan-China politics.
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Answer
25%
(0%)
Estonia
25%
(0%)
Latvia
25%
(0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
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This forecast expired on Oct 8, 2024 11:33PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
12%
Yes
Sep 8, 2024 to Mar 8, 2025
88%
No
Sep 8, 2024 to Mar 8, 2025
Starting a nuclear war would be so bad so I don't think Russia will go.
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It seems like Egypt is unstable but not so unstable that they are going to fully economically collapse.