Evelyn-Moore

Evelyn Moore
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0.038471

Relative Brier Score

7

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 2 7 7 7
Comments 0 0 1 1 1
Questions Forecasted 0 2 6 6 6
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 0
 Definitions
New Prediction

It seems like Egypt is unstable but not so unstable that they are going to fully economically collapse.

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Active Forecaster

New Prediction
Evelyn-Moore
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
0%
Kuwait
0%
Oman
0%
Qatar
0%
Saudi Arabia
1%
Tunisia

I don't think any of these countries will acknowledge Israel since they strongly dislike Israel. 

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New Prediction
Evelyn-Moore
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Nov 10, 2024 06:15PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
0%
Yes
Oct 10, 2024 to Apr 10, 2025
100%
No
Oct 10, 2024 to Apr 10, 2025
Why do you think you're right?

Those countries dislike Isreal. 

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Why might you be wrong?


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New Prediction
Evelyn-Moore
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Nov 10, 2024 06:13PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
20%
Yes
Oct 10, 2024 to Apr 10, 2025
80%
No
Oct 10, 2024 to Apr 10, 2025
Why do you think you're right?

I don't think they would invade because I don't think it would be good for China with international trade

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Why might you be wrong?

I don't know a lot about Taiwan-China politics.

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Evelyn-Moore
earned a new badge:

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New Prediction
Evelyn-Moore
made their 2nd forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
25% (0%)
Estonia
25% (0%)
Latvia
25% (0%)
Lithuania
Confirmed previous forecast
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New Prediction
Evelyn-Moore
made their 1st forecast (view all):
This forecast expired on Oct 8, 2024 11:33PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
12%
Yes
Sep 8, 2024 to Mar 8, 2025
88%
No
Sep 8, 2024 to Mar 8, 2025

Starting a nuclear war would be so bad so I don't think Russia will go.

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My First Question

Congratulations on making your first forecast!
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Evelyn-Moore
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Active Forecaster

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