Only a small chance
-0.013593
Relative Brier Score
4
Forecasts
1
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
Will there be an attack on an Iranian nuclear facility in the next 6 months?
Compare to me
This forecast expired on Aug 26, 2023 07:20PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
10%
Yes
Jul 26, 2023 to Jan 26, 2024
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(-5%)
Yes
updating
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
15%
Yes
Russia focusing on other priorities
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
Yes
Don't think policy will end but we'll continue to see restrictions loosened
Files
