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Gary-Perrin

Gary Perrin
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-0.000915

Relative Brier Score

3

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0

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 Definitions
New Prediction
Why do you think you're right?
BP & Shell would only resume using the Red Sea if there was military protection, the military will not provide this as any intervention by armed forces would signal a sign of aggression, which would bring us closer to a tipping point and an enevertable conflict.
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Why might you be wrong?

If it's decided that the military are to support Oil companies it's a sign of aggression, which would lead to a planned/forced escalation

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New Prediction

Vladimir Putin wants to be remembered as the longest serving Russain president, his first & second term, spaned eight years. He is currently in his third and fourth terms at the time of writing eleven years and two hundred and eighty six days, He has no desire to relinquse his hold of Russia and it's people 

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New Prediction

Vladimir Putin wants to be remembered as the longest serving Russain president, his first & second term, spaned eight years. He is currently in his third and fourth terms at the time of writing eleven years and two hundred and eighty six days, He has no desire to relinquse his hold of Russia and it's people 

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