RAND Forecasting Initiative

Question Ends:
Jul 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(9 months from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Apr 08, 2024 05:24PM UTC
(6 months ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	5%	2%	+3%	-4%
No	95%	98%	-3%	+4%

Forecast Count:
3 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 13, 2024 07:42AM UTC
(18 days ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Forecast Window	Forecast Expiration	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	20%	Sep 13, 2024 to Sep 13, 2025	Dec 13, 2024	11%	+9%	+5%
No	80%	Sep 13, 2024 to Sep 13, 2025	Dec 13, 2024	89%	-9%	-5%

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast

Question Ends:
May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 13, 2024 07:43AM UTC
(18 days ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	20%	11%	+9%	-3%
No	80%	89%	-9%	+3%

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