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Irina-Panteleeva

Irina Panteleeva
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0.485156

Relative Brier Score

1

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
 

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Forecasts 0 0 0 0 1
Comments 0 0 0 0 1
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My First Question

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Irina-Panteleeva
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
65%
Less than 7%
16%
More than or equal to 7% but less than 12%
8%
More than or equal to 12% but less than 17%
9%
More than or equal to 17% but less than 22%
2%
More than or equal to 22%
Why do you think you're right?

I thinl that merelu less than 7% of Ukrainian territoty will be held by Russia in December 2023 becauce currently Russia's war company does not take place successfully. Thus, the Ukrain's territory remains the same as it is. I belive that this situation will hold steady. Moreover, russian troops have certain difficulties among their members, so is it unlikely that they will be able to add new areas of Ukrain to Russia.

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Why might you be wrong?

I think because of russian government's actions and desicions, for instance, it can establishes new troops that will be able to make their compaings successfuly, but it is unlikely.

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