Only if something unanticipated happens
1.959098
Relative Brier Score
5
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
Yes
0%
No
Because they will have to by law.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
Putin will not stand down on his own. He has support among the elite who matters
Files
Why might you be wrong?
He may die or catastrophe in UKR force change of power
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
69%
Yes
They have scheduled it and most likely consider it very important. But it has delayed and doubt if they can do it in spite of sanctions?
Files
No reaso to, China can and will wait