Forecasted Questions
Will any of the following countries recognize Israel’s statehood by 31 December 2024?
Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 06, 2024 11:30AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Oct 06, 2024 11:30AM UTC
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kuwait | 44% | 1% | +43% | +0% |
| Oman | 46% | 2% | +44% | +0% |
| Qatar | 0% | 1% | -1% | +0% |
| Saudi Arabia | 50% | 2% | +48% | +0% |
| Tunisia | 0% | 1% | -1% | +0% |
Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test within the next six months?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 06, 2024 11:48AM UTC
(1 month ago)
Oct 06, 2024 11:48AM UTC
(1 month ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Forecast Window | Forecast Expiration | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 73% | Oct 6, 2024 to Apr 6, 2025 | Nov 6, 2024 | 18% | +55% | -27% |
| No | 27% | Oct 6, 2024 to Apr 6, 2025 | Nov 6, 2024 | 82% | -55% | +27% |