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    Date Ended Question Relative Brier Score
    Jul 1, 2024 04:01AM Will the price of the rare earth compound dysprosium oxide equal or exceed $1000 per kg before 1 July 2024? -0.000014
    Apr 19, 2024 02:19AM Will there be an attack on an Iranian nuclear- or missile-related facility in the next 6 months? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 11, 2023 and Apr 19, 2024) -0.079425
    Mar 29, 2024 04:00AM What percentage of the UK’s consumption of transport fuels will come from biofuels in 2023? -0.001658
    Feb 2, 2024 10:00PM When will ExxonMobil next positively mention algae-based biofuels in its quarterly financial report? 0.0
    Feb 1, 2024 05:00AM Will the Center for Strategic and International Studies record a “significant cyber incident” involving quantum computing in 2023? 0.000326
    Jan 1, 2024 05:00AM By 31 December 2023, will IBM Quantum Computing offer access to a quantum computing system with 1,000 or more qubits? 0.002827
    Jan 1, 2024 05:00AM Will any listed Muslim-majority country sign an agreement establishing or normalizing diplomatic relations with Israel by 31 December 2023? -0.000004
    Nov 1, 2023 04:01AM Will a country ban or take regulatory actions that ultimately block access to OpenAI's models, between 1 June 2023 and 31 October 2023, inclusive? -0.001539
    Oct 11, 2023 04:00PM Will there be an attack on an Iranian nuclear- or missile-related facility in the next 6 months? (Scores for forecasts between Sep 11, 2023 and Oct 11, 2023) 0.006677
    Sep 26, 2023 04:00PM Will the U.S. government file an antitrust lawsuit against Apple, Amazon, or Facebook between January 20, 2021 and January 19, 2025? -0.018973
    Sep 18, 2023 04:01AM Of the following companies, which will start volume production on a 3nm chip or smaller before 17 September 2023? -0.004247
    Sep 1, 2023 09:00PM How many people will have signed up for World ID on 1 September 2023? -0.00491
    Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment to China in 2022? 0.100974
    Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor chips to China in 2022? 0.001076
    Aug 21, 2023 09:00PM Will GenScript’s Industrial Synthetic Biology segment report an operating profit in the first half of 2023? -0.00341
    Aug 14, 2023 04:00AM From 1 August 2022 to 31 July 2023, will ACLED record 1000 or more fatalities from conflicts or political violence in Kenya? 0.00791
    Jul 2, 2023 04:00AM How many “venture capital members” will be part of BioMADE at the end of June 2023? -0.014096
    Jul 1, 2023 04:01AM Will the composition of Israel's current governing coalition change before 1 July 2023? 0.141132
    Jul 1, 2023 04:00AM Which of the following companies will announce a new neuromorphic chip or system by 30 June 2023? -0.025071
    Jun 1, 2023 12:45AM On 31 May 2023, how many total tax incentives will be listed in the Alternative Fuels Data Center? 0.129847
     
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