Confirmed previous forecast
-0.010385
Relative Brier Score
11
Forecasts
1
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 60 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 38 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
80%
(0%)
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
10%
(+10%)
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
He runs the country with an iron fist and everyone is afraid to oppose him
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Maybe he will be assassinated??
Files
New Badge
SynBio Trendcaster
Forecasted on at least 5 synthetic biology questions between August 18 and October 31
Comment deleted on Nov 14, 2022 04:16PM UTC