RAND Forecasting Initiative

Date Ended	Question	Relative Brier Score
May 1, 2024 04:01AM	Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 May 2024?	-0.001513
Dec 30, 2023 02:16PM	What percentage of Ukrainian territory will be held by Russia in December 2023?	0.206031
Aug 20, 2023 05:25PM	Will Russia successfully launch a moon mission on or before 1 Sep 2023?	0.49507

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