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MaynaraMayans
About:
Undergrad in Languages and International
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Seasons
2020 Season
2023 Season
2021 Season
2022 Season
2024 Season
Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Africa
China Lithography
Cybersecurity
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
East Asia Security
Economic Debt
Future Bowl
Government Investment
Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
Manufacturing
metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
Russian Disinformation
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
Syria
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
Will OpenAI release a fifth generation of its generative pre-trained transformer model (GPT-5) to the general public in 2023?
1.80023
Dec 30, 2023 02:16PM UTC
What percentage of Ukrainian territory will be held by Russia in December 2023?
0.138287
Nov 22, 2023 01:45PM UTC
Will Israel and Hamas agree to a ceasefire in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 12, 2023 and Nov 22, 2023)
-0.954449
Aug 14, 2023 04:00AM UTC
From 1 August 2022 and 31 July 2023, will ACLED record 100 or more protest and riot-related fatalities in Brazil?
-0.05359
Apr 18, 2023 04:06PM UTC
How many autonomous vehicle collisions will the California DMV record for January, February, and March 2023 combined?
-0.03735
Apr 10, 2023 09:00PM UTC
What will be the highest average price recorded for a gallon of diesel in the U.S. between 6 Feb 2023 and 10 Apr 2023?
0.390157
Apr 05, 2023 07:15PM UTC
Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test on or before 31 March 2023?
0.280302
Apr 05, 2023 07:14PM UTC
Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Dec 6, 2022 and Feb 1, 2023)
-0.000305
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Will SpaceX launch Starship into orbit before 1 April 2023?
0.0
Apr 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Will any of the following countries announce on or before 31 March 2023 that they are joining the United States’ chip export ban against China?
0.486914
Mar 17, 2023 02:12PM UTC
Will a European country announce that they are sending fighter jets to Ukraine by 30 April 2023?
-0.266845
Mar 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
Will Vladimir Putin cease to be the president of the Russian Federation before 1 March 2023?
-0.001656
Feb 03, 2023 05:00AM UTC
Will China launch more orbital rockets than the U.S. in January 2023?
0.142244
Feb 01, 2023 06:46PM UTC
Will the European Union’s economic sanctions on Russia expire or be revoked for whole sectors or industries by 31 January 2023?
-0.000147
Jan 01, 2023 05:00AM UTC
Will China announce an end to its zero Covid policy by 31 December 2022?
-0.00256
Dec 06, 2022 08:00PM UTC
Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 6, 2022 and Dec 6, 2022)
-0.001057
Nov 06, 2022 08:00PM UTC
Will Russia test or use a nuclear weapon in the next month? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 6, 2022 and Nov 6, 2022)
-0.000784
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