RAND Forecasting Initiative

Date Ended	Question	Relative Brier Score
Jul 27, 2022 12:59PM UTC	How many tech startup layoff events will be recorded in July 2022?	0.775456
Jul 23, 2022 04:17PM UTC	Will the World Health Organization declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern in the next four quarters? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 28, 2021 and Jun 1, 2022)	-0.06035
Jul 01, 2022 08:00PM UTC	How will annual money raised by private U.S. tech companies change over the next three years? - 2022 H1	-0.065977
Jun 04, 2022 04:00AM UTC	What will be the price of crude oil futures on 3 June 2022?	0.03126
May 31, 2022 03:08PM UTC	Will the United States have the world's fastest supercomputer in June 2022?	0.873998
May 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC	What will the 'Big 5' (Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft) tech companies' average reputation ranking be in the 2022 Axios Harris poll?	0.01845
Feb 01, 2022 05:00AM UTC	How will the combined annual revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft change over the next three years? - 2021 H2	0.310743
Jan 31, 2022 03:38PM UTC	How will annual money raised by private U.S. tech companies change over the next three years? - 2021 H2	-0.017916

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