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    Date Ended Question Relative Brier Score
    Sep 26, 2023 04:00PM Will the U.S. government file an antitrust lawsuit against Apple, Amazon, or Facebook between January 20, 2021 and January 19, 2025? 0.006218
    Aug 28, 2023 05:09PM What percentage of O visas will go to Chinese nationals in FY 2022 (October 2021 through September 2022)? -0.102585
    Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor chips in 2022? 0.215582
    Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment to China in 2022? -0.020352
    Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2022? -0.038248
    Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor chips to China in 2022? 0.08425
    Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment in 2022? 0.007356
    Jan 1, 2023 05:01AM Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022? -0.001883
    Dec 22, 2022 08:51PM How many new H-1B visa applications submitted by the "Big 5" tech companies will the U.S. grant in FY 2022 (September 2021 through October 2022)? -0.271441
    Jul 23, 2022 04:18PM Will the World Health Organization declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern between August 1, 2021 and July 31, 2022? 0.521827
    Jul 23, 2022 04:17PM Will the World Health Organization declare a new Public Health Emergency of International Concern in the next four quarters? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 28, 2021 and Jun 1, 2022) 0.378055
    May 31, 2022 03:08PM Will the United States have the world's fastest supercomputer in June 2022? -0.263222
    May 25, 2022 02:09PM Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied features in the South China Sea between August 1, 2021 and March 31, 2022? -0.00153
    May 1, 2022 04:00AM What will the 'Big 5' (Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft) tech companies' average reputation ranking be in the 2022 Axios Harris poll? -0.096481
    Apr 28, 2022 04:00AM What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2022 Pew Global Attitudes Survey? 0.058057
    Apr 28, 2022 01:30AM When will 1 billion people in India receive at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine? 0.091326
    Mar 1, 2022 05:00AM Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea between September 1, 2021 and February 28, 2022, inclusive? -0.015806
    Feb 8, 2022 06:49AM Will NVIDIA acquire Arm by March 31, 2022? 0.043426
    Jan 31, 2022 03:17PM How many U.S. job postings requiring machine learning skills will be published between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive? 0.29897
    Jan 31, 2022 03:05PM How will the ratio of China-authored to U.S.-authored highly cited (top 1%) AI papers change over the next three years? - 2021 0.035608
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