NATO countries may be strong armed to supporting them but the rest of the world including the BRIX countries will not.
0.456921
Relative Brier Score
0
Forecasts
0
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New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Japan
50%
The Netherlands
44%
South Korea
12%
Any other country not listed
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
I think my forecast will be correct because the BRIX including Russia are stronger than the US and NATO
Files
You may wish to know that the Netherlands and Japan have both already agreed to participate in the chip export ban.
https://www.reuters.com/technology/us-official-acknowledges-japan-netherlands-deal-curb-chipmaking-exports-china-2023-02-01/
Also, note that the question isn't only about whether any countries will join the chip export ban, but whether any such countries would announce it.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
83%
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
Considering their past performance they will continue to flex their muscles to continue to bully the world into they are a viable nuclear power to be dealt with.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
If it doesn't happen it is because Trump is back in office and seals a deal with the North Korean government
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
20%
Less than 20
9%
Between 20 and 29, inclusive
20%
Between 30 and 39, inclusive
29%
Between 40 and 49, inclusive
22%
More than or equal to 50
Why do you think you're right?
AI technology is getting better and intuitive for the driver to understand and to use.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
If big tech tries to introduce it without the appropriate amount of time to test the system like what happened with the 737 MAX 899/900 aircraft. it will be a disaster
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Less than or equal to 3
32%
4
1%
5
67%
6
0%
More than or equal to 7
Why do you think you're right?
Hydrogen is a cleaner way to produce electricity to run vehicles with little or zero emissions except for water vapor
Files
Why might you be wrong?
If big tech wants to enrich themselves with a weaker technology that they own or develop. Hopefully, the populous supports hydrogen which now more and more support the technology
Files
New Badge
My First Question
Congratulations on making your first forecast!
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
0%
Less than 5
29%
Between 5 and 11, inclusive
0%
Between 12 and 17, inclusive
71%
More than or equal to 18
Why do you think you're right?
As of 2020 35 out of 50 states have consistently voted for the same party
in every presidential election
Files
Why might you be wrong?
If I am wrong it is because the republications made the case of the failures of the democratic party under Biden. There have been so many blunders and criminal negligence being uncovered now that the populous realizes the dems are the problem. Pushing the jab even with the high number of deaths is waking up the peopel.
Files
Why do you think you're right?
The current regime has signed up with the climate cult to ban all combustible vehicles both gas and diesel so they push electric which in reality they do not want private citizens to own vehicles any longer.
Why might you be wrong?
I would be wrong if the current regime is taken out of office via impeachment and the congress/senate reverse all the insane restrictions they emplaced and start processing more oil in the country to no longer be dependent on other suppliers except US