Roy_C

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Forecasted Questions

In the next 12 months, will a Large Language Model built by a Chinese organization rank in the top 3 overall on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 31, 2024 02:40AM UTC
(6 days ago)
Answer Your Forecast Forecast Window Forecast Expiration Current Consensus
Yes 25% Oct 31, 2024 to Oct 31, 2025 Nov 30, 2024 25%
No 75% Oct 31, 2024 to Oct 31, 2025 Nov 30, 2024 75%
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