0.891364
Relative Brier Score
168
Forecasts
58
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 209 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 144 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 57 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 61 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
31%
(-32%)
Less than 300 million CHF
59%
(+29%)
More than or equal to 300 million CHF but less than 350 million CHF
10%
(+3%)
More than or equal to 350 million CHF
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
4%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
4%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
88%
(0%)
Less than 20%
12%
(0%)
More than or equal to 20% but less than 24%
0%
(0%)
More than or equal to 24%
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(-7%)
Yes
Seeing the data set now in the background information. I doubt there being enough demand within the next year such that a company sees it worth it to risk a drop from ~$600 to $100, expecting to sustain that price through any questions of quality or use.
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
(-2%)
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
No significant news since last update. News of advisors predictions. News of elites deaths may be pre-divorce pics but I think this is not a three month turn around.
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Files
https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/TG*1