SlowAndGradual

About:

Show more
View All Badges »
    Date Ended Question Relative Brier Score
    Sep 26, 2023 04:00PM Will the U.S. government file an antitrust lawsuit against Apple, Amazon, or Facebook between January 20, 2021 and January 19, 2025? 0.019855
    Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor chips in 2022? -0.088541
    Jan 1, 2023 05:01AM Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022? -0.004677
    May 31, 2022 03:08PM Will the United States have the world's fastest supercomputer in June 2022? -0.201367
    Apr 28, 2022 04:00AM What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2022 Pew Global Attitudes Survey? 0.138962
    Apr 28, 2022 01:30AM When will 1 billion people in India receive at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine? 0.007942
    Mar 1, 2022 05:00AM What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2021? -0.199419
    Feb 8, 2022 06:49AM Will NVIDIA acquire Arm by March 31, 2022? -0.047847
    Feb 3, 2022 02:00PM What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the second half of 2021? -0.001301
    Jan 4, 2022 01:19PM How many of the top chipmakers in China will be subject to new export controls in 2021? -0.02812
    Jan 4, 2022 01:16PM How many members will the Alphabet Workers Union have by December 31, 2021? 0.029574
    Jan 3, 2022 01:44PM What percentage of U.S. AI publications will have a Chinese co-author in 2021? -0.04184
    Jan 3, 2022 01:41PM What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2021? -0.055154
    Jan 1, 2022 01:52PM Will a G7 country boycott the Beijing 2022 Winter Olympics before January 1, 2022? 0.054447
    Jan 1, 2022 01:49PM Will China sign an official agreement on establishing a future military base in the Pacific Ocean before December 31, 2021? -0.005147
    Jan 1, 2022 01:40PM Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive? -0.009873
    Jan 1, 2022 12:59PM Will the United States return to compliance with the 2015 Iran nuclear deal by December 31, 2021? -0.03873
    Dec 17, 2021 11:00AM Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 17, 2021 and Dec 17, 2021) 0.0
    Nov 18, 2021 12:12PM When will Ant Financial have an IPO in China or Hong Kong? -0.00212
    Nov 17, 2021 11:00AM Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 17, 2021 and Nov 17, 2021) -0.000532
     
    Files
    Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
    Cancel