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SlowAndGradual
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Following (15)
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2024 Season
2020 Season
2025 Season
2021 Season
2023 Season
2022 Season
Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Africa
Biotechnology and Biomedical Capabilities
China Lithography
Cybersecurity
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
East Asia Security
Economic Debt
Future Bowl
Government Investment
Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
Manufacturing
metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
Russian Disinformation
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
Syria
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Sep 26, 2023 04:00PM
Will the U.S. government file an antitrust lawsuit against Apple, Amazon, or Facebook between January 20, 2021 and January 19, 2025?
0.019855
Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM
What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor chips in 2022?
-0.088541
Jan 1, 2023 05:01AM
Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
-0.004677
May 31, 2022 03:08PM
Will the United States have the world's fastest supercomputer in June 2022?
-0.201367
Apr 28, 2022 04:00AM
What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2022 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?
0.138962
Apr 28, 2022 01:30AM
When will 1 billion people in India receive at least one dose of a COVID-19 vaccine?
0.007942
Mar 1, 2022 05:00AM
What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2021?
-0.199419
Feb 8, 2022 06:49AM
Will NVIDIA acquire Arm by March 31, 2022?
-0.047847
Feb 3, 2022 02:00PM
What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the second half of 2021?
-0.001301
Jan 4, 2022 01:19PM
How many of the top chipmakers in China will be subject to new export controls in 2021?
-0.02812
Jan 4, 2022 01:16PM
How many members will the Alphabet Workers Union have by December 31, 2021?
0.029574
Jan 3, 2022 01:44PM
What percentage of U.S. AI publications will have a Chinese co-author in 2021?
-0.04184
Jan 3, 2022 01:41PM
What percentage of U.S. corporate press releases about AI will reference AI ethics in 2021?
-0.055154
Jan 1, 2022 01:52PM
Will a G7 country boycott the Beijing 2022 Winter Olympics before January 1, 2022?
0.054447
Jan 1, 2022 01:49PM
Will China sign an official agreement on establishing a future military base in the Pacific Ocean before December 31, 2021?
-0.005147
Jan 1, 2022 01:40PM
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?
-0.009873
Jan 1, 2022 12:59PM
Will the United States return to compliance with the 2015 Iran nuclear deal by December 31, 2021?
-0.03873
Dec 17, 2021 11:00AM
Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Nov 17, 2021 and Dec 17, 2021)
0.0
Nov 18, 2021 12:12PM
When will Ant Financial have an IPO in China or Hong Kong?
-0.00212
Nov 17, 2021 11:00AM
Will China execute an acknowledged national military attack against Vietnam, India, or Taiwan in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Oct 17, 2021 and Nov 17, 2021)
-0.000532
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