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Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
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INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
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Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
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metric-question
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Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
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semiconductors
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Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Aug 28, 2023 05:09PM UTC
What percentage of O visas will go to Chinese nationals in FY 2022 (October 2021 through September 2022)?
0.020796
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will Li Keqiang be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
0.588562
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
0.006632
Apr 01, 2022 04:00AM UTC
What percentage of the combined revenue of the top five semiconductor manufacturing equipment producers will come from China in 2021?
0.041564
Jan 31, 2022 03:17PM UTC
How many U.S. job postings requiring machine learning skills will be published between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?
0.114903
Jan 31, 2022 02:49PM UTC
How much funding will private U.S. tech companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?
-0.125698
Jan 31, 2022 02:48PM UTC
How much funding will U.S. tech startups raise between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?
0.063723
Jan 04, 2022 01:22PM UTC
How many AI papers will be posted on arXiv between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?
0.176363
Jan 04, 2022 01:19PM UTC
How many of the top chipmakers in China will be subject to new export controls in 2021?
-0.07136
Jan 04, 2022 01:16PM UTC
How many members will the Alphabet Workers Union have by December 31, 2021?
0.033546
Jan 01, 2022 02:17PM UTC
Following El Salvador, will another country classify Bitcoin as legal tender by December 31, 2021?
0.004674
Jan 01, 2022 01:40PM UTC
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?
0.153733
Jan 01, 2022 05:00AM UTC
What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor chips in 2021?
0.113488
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