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brycefarabaugh
Bryce Farabaugh
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Seasons
2020 Season
2023 Season
2021 Season
2022 Season
2024 Season
Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Africa
China Lithography
Cybersecurity
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
East Asia Security
Economic Debt
Future Bowl
Government Investment
Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
Manufacturing
metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
Russian Disinformation
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
Syria
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Apr 01, 2021 04:51PM UTC
How much will the U.S. Department of Defense spend on AI research contracts between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive?
0.00015
Mar 18, 2021 06:27PM UTC
What percentage of software engineer job postings between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive, will allow for remote work?
-0.093
Mar 07, 2021 09:22PM UTC
What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2021 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?
-0.137536
Jan 04, 2021 01:58PM UTC
What will the ratio of AI publications to machine learning research job postings be for Apple, Amazon, Facebook, Google, and Microsoft, combined, in 2020?
0.182603
Oct 20, 2020 01:16PM UTC
How many postings for U.S. jobs requiring machine learning skills will be published between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
-0.016003
Oct 01, 2020 06:17PM UTC
How many AI papers will be posted on arXiv between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
0.044154
Oct 01, 2020 02:37PM UTC
What percentage of U.S. news articles about facial recognition will have a negative framing between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive?
-0.007686
Oct 01, 2020 04:00AM UTC
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea by September 30, 2020?
0.006063
Aug 16, 2020 03:59AM UTC
What percentage of U.S. news articles about AI will be about privacy and security between June 15 and August 15, 2020, inclusive?
0.003795
Aug 11, 2020 03:59AM UTC
Will the Chinese government add Apple, Qualcomm, Cisco, or Boeing to its 'unreliable entities list' by August 10, 2020?
0.370579
Aug 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC
Will Germany, France, Italy, or Spain announce any new restrictions on the use of Huawei equipment in their 5G networks by July 31, 2020?
0.100681
Jul 18, 2020 03:59AM UTC
Will the U.S. government cancel or shorten the 24-month STEM extension to the Optional Practical Training program by July 17, 2020?
0.000632
Jul 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC
Will the Indian government continue the TikTok ban through July 14, 2020?
0.0
Jul 10, 2020 02:04PM UTC
Will the Executive Branch delay implementation of any part of Section 889, Part B, of the 2018 National Defense Authorization Act by July 17, 2020?
0.042089
Jun 29, 2020 03:59AM UTC
Will either China or India respond to the events in Aksai Chin on June 15, 2020 by launching an airstrike, missile attack, or using another form of lethal force by June 28, 2020?
0.2405
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