Too short time, too much bureaucracy
1.536026
Relative Brier Score
9
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Calendar
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Definitions |
Top Forecaster of the Month - Dec 2023
Top Forecaster of the Month - Nov 2023
Upvotes Received
Why do you think you're right?
Why might you be wrong?
some authoritarian country may do it. eg: North korea
Why do you think you're right?
Chat GPT is trained mostly with occidental text in english. I believe countrys like chine would prefer a tool like that to be trained with their own texts
Why might you be wrong?
It may take a little bit longer.
Please notice that the question essentially does not apply to China, as the Chinese have already banned ChatGPT and China is not in the current list of supported countries: https://platform.openai.com/docs/supported-countries
You can find a table with the countries not currently in the list in my post below: https://www.infer-pub.com/comments/83666
Why do you think you're right?
not clear yet how this may affect their Ad income and user engaging
Why might you be wrong?
not clear yet how this may affect their Ad income and user engaging
Active Forecaster
Why do you think you're right?
Will allow Microsoft to acquire more market share in the search engines market
Why do you think you're right?
It must be an authoritarian country considering the short time. Key ones already banned chat gpt. https://www.pcguide.com/apps/countries-chatgpt-not-available/
Why might you be wrong?
Some soft autocracy may still ban it.