carriepwang

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0.2281

Relative Brier Score

1

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
 

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 Definitions
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carriepwang
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My First Question

Congratulations on making your first forecast!
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Active Forecaster

New Prediction
carriepwang
made their 1st forecast (view all):
Probability
Answer
43%
Japan
63%
The Netherlands
32%
South Korea
74%
Any other country not listed
Why do you think you're right?

I think it's very likely that at least one country will join the US chip export ban so that's why I made the "Any other country not listed" percentage so high.

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Why might you be wrong?

Maybe countries won't want to join the US' chip export ban because they would lose a big trading partner.

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