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cmccarthy
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2020 Season
2023 Season
2021 Season
2022 Season
2024 Season
Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Africa
China Lithography
Cybersecurity
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
East Asia Security
Economic Debt
Future Bowl
Government Investment
Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
Manufacturing
metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
Russian Disinformation
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
Syria
U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will Hu Chunhua be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
-0.385838
Jan 01, 2023 05:01AM UTC
Will Xi Jinping be General Secretary of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?
-0.013264
Apr 28, 2022 04:00AM UTC
What percentage of U.S. residents will have an unfavorable view of China, as reflected in the 2022 Pew Global Attitudes Survey?
-0.114652
Jan 01, 2022 01:52PM UTC
Will a G7 country boycott the Beijing 2022 Winter Olympics before January 1, 2022?
-0.00266
Jan 01, 2022 01:49PM UTC
Will China sign an official agreement on establishing a future military base in the Pacific Ocean before December 31, 2021?
-0.008764
Jan 01, 2022 01:40PM UTC
Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea between July 1 and December 31, 2021, inclusive?
-0.010134
Jan 01, 2022 12:59PM UTC
Will the United States return to compliance with the 2015 Iran nuclear deal by December 31, 2021?
-0.128333
Nov 18, 2021 03:56PM UTC
What percentage of software engineer job postings between July 1 and September 30, 2021, inclusive, will allow for remote work?
0.143726
Nov 18, 2021 12:12PM UTC
When will Ant Financial have an IPO in China or Hong Kong?
-0.001151
Jul 01, 2021 05:30PM UTC
Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied features in the South China Sea before July 1, 2021?
-0.000893
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