Forecasted Questions
How many German-language disinformation cases originating in pro-Kremlin media will there be between 1 October 2024 and 30 September 2025?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(10 months from now)
Oct 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(10 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 27, 2024 01:18AM UTC
(27 days ago)
Oct 27, 2024 01:18AM UTC
(27 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Less than or equal to 59 | 11% | 1% | +10% | -2% |
| Between 60 and 69, inclusive | 16% | 8% | +9% | -21% |
| Between 70 and 79, inclusive | 25% | 27% | -2% | +0% |
| Between 80 and 89, inclusive | 25% | 37% | -12% | +9% |
| More than or equal to 90 | 23% | 27% | -4% | +14% |
By 31 December 2024, will Microsoft announce that its AI Research Lab in China is closing or being relocated?
Forecast Count:
9 Forecasts
9 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Dec 30, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Dec 30, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Oct 29, 2024 05:06PM UTC
(24 days ago)
Oct 29, 2024 05:06PM UTC
(24 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | 5% | -3% | +0% |
| No | 98% | 95% | +3% | +0% |
On 31 May 2025, will Nvidia be the world’s most valuable company by market cap?
Forecast Count:
10 Forecasts
10 Forecasts
Question Ends:
May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(5 months from now)
May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(5 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Nov 08, 2024 11:04AM UTC
(14 days ago)
Nov 08, 2024 11:04AM UTC
(14 days ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52% | 34% | +18% | +3% |
| No | 48% | 66% | -18% | -3% |