RAND Forecasting Initiative

Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2026 05:00AM UTC
(1 year from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 29, 2024 03:16PM UTC
(1 day ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Forecast Window	Forecast Expiration	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	8%	Sep 29, 2024 to Sep 29, 2025	Dec 29, 2024	8%	+0%	+1%
No	92%	Sep 29, 2024 to Sep 29, 2025	Dec 29, 2024	92%	+0%	-1%

Forecast Count:
7 Forecasts

Question Ends:
Sep 01, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(11 months from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2024 05:40PM UTC
(8 hours ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Forecast Window	Forecast Expiration	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	98%	Sep 30, 2024 to Mar 30, 2025	Oct 30, 2024	86%	+12%	+4%
No	2%	Sep 30, 2024 to Mar 30, 2025	Oct 30, 2024	14%	-12%	-4%

Forecast Count:
8 Forecasts

Question Ends:
May 03, 2025 04:00AM UTC
(7 months from now)

Forecast Last Updated:
Sep 30, 2024 10:35PM UTC
(3 hours ago)

Answer	Your Forecast	Current Consensus	Difference from Consensus	Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast
Yes	34%	11%	+23%	+0%
No	66%	89%	-23%	+0%

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