RAND Forecasting Initiative

-1.732184

Relative Brier Score

27

Forecasts

5

Upvotes

Forecasting Activity

Forecasting Calendar

No forecasts in the past 3 months

	Past Week	Past Month	Past Year	This Season	All Time
Forecasts	0	0	0	0	386
Comments	0	0	0	0	58
Questions Forecasted	0	0	0	0	91
Upvotes on Comments By This User	0	0	0	0	271
Definitions

New Prediction

Will Li Keqiang be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?

elifland made their 3rd forecast (view all):

Compare to me

Probability

Answer

0% (-40%)

Yes

following crowd

Files

Dec 26, 2022 10:02AM UTC

New Prediction

Will Chen Min'er be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?

elifland made their 4th forecast (view all):

Compare to me

Probability

Answer

0% (-68%)

Yes

following crowd

Files

Dec 26, 2022 10:02AM UTC

New Badge

elifland earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction

Will Hu Chunhua be a member of the Standing Committee of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party's Central Committee on December 31, 2022?

elifland made their 5th forecast (view all):

Compare to me

Probability

Answer

0% (-47%)

Yes

following crowd

Files

Dec 26, 2022 10:02AM UTC

elifland

Eli Lifland

About:

-1.732184

Relative Brier Score

27

Forecasts

5

Upvotes

Forecasting Calendar