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elmo314

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New Prediction

LLMs are stochastic & effective precisely because the delta between human responses & LLM responses is so small. Therefore, such labeling is  bound to end up with a number of false-positives & not particularly helpful for users.  The ROI on implementing such a feature, especially before June, renders it highly unlikely. 

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sanyer
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Not necessarily. You could include a sampling algorithm whose output is then used to produce a score that determines if the text is generated by an LLM. See e.g. this paper.

However, AFAIK OpenAI isn't using these techniques just yet, which makes it very unlikely that social media are going to be able to label text as potentially written by AI
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New Prediction

The US is the dominant player in AI, software, robotics etc. Its need for chips will not recede relative to other regions in the coming quarters, if anything it may increase. 

Unlike 5 years ago, today practically every person with power or influence (Military, Private Sector, Finance, Academia etc.) understands the value of TSMC's chips & will pay a premium to stockpile chips as an insurance policy against a possible invasion of Taiwan. 

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New Prediction

They will do this eventually (or create some other mechanism to counteract synthetic media), but not by May. Deepfakes are simply not good yet (nor can the highest quality ones be created by laymen) yet to warrant it

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Congratulations on making your first forecast!
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Making my first forecast!
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