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2020 Season
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Artificial Intelligence
China Politics, Relations, and Technology
Formerly on Foretell
Global AI Race: Talent, Research, and Tech
How Will the U.S. Technology Sector Develop in the Coming Years?
Immigration
Industry
INFER x Cosmic Bazaar Collaboration
International Diplomacy & Conflict
Iran: Threats & Influence
Issue Campaign: U.S. Department of Defense - Silicon Valley Relationship
Microelectronic Technologies
Public Attitudes
Research
Russia-Ukraine War
Science & Technology
Synthetic Biology in the Energy Sector
The Water Cooler
U.S.-China
Africa
China Lithography
Cybersecurity
Decoding Disinformation
EA College Tournament
East Asia Security
Economic Debt
Future Bowl
Government Investment
Iran Nuclear Program
Iran-VNSAs
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metric-question
Microelectronics
Mission: AI Advancement
Mission: Diplomacy
Open RAN
Quantum Computing
Russian Disinformation
semiconductors
Semiconductor Supply Chain
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U.S. tech sector
Date Ended
Question
Relative Brier Score
Jan 01, 2024 05:00PM UTC
Will United Airlines announce that they are using sustainable aviation fuel produced by Cemvita Factory by 31 Dec 2023?
0.491052
Jan 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
By 31 December 2023, will IBM Quantum Computing offer access to a quantum computing system with 1,000 or more qubits?
-0.035505
Sep 26, 2023 04:00PM UTC
Will the U.S. government file an antitrust lawsuit against Apple, Amazon, or Facebook between January 20, 2021 and January 19, 2025?
-0.000626
Sep 18, 2023 04:01AM UTC
Of the following companies, which will start volume production on a 3nm chip or smaller before 17 September 2023?
0.14083
Aug 28, 2023 05:09PM UTC
What percentage of O visas will go to Chinese nationals in FY 2022 (October 2021 through September 2022)?
0.28743
Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM UTC
What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor chips in 2022?
0.353813
Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM UTC
What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment to China in 2022?
0.15048
Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM UTC
What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2022?
0.009393
Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM UTC
What will be the value, in dollars, of U.S. exports of semiconductor chips to China in 2022?
-0.121637
Aug 28, 2023 05:08PM UTC
What will be the value, in dollars, of all Chinese imports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment in 2022?
-0.072032
Jul 01, 2023 04:00AM UTC
Which of the following companies will announce a new neuromorphic chip or system by 30 June 2023?
0.161838
May 23, 2023 03:04PM UTC
Will China seize control of any Taiwanese-occupied feature in the South China Sea in the next six months? (Scores for forecasts between Jan 17, 2022 and Aug 17, 2022)
-0.000117
Apr 21, 2023 04:49PM UTC
Will clashes between Chinese and Indian security forces result in 25 or more fatalities between 28 April 2022 and 1 April 2023?
-0.00375
Apr 20, 2023 06:16PM UTC
What percentage of contributions to Github's “very high impact” AI projects will be from the EU in 2022?
0.508367
Apr 20, 2023 03:52PM UTC
Will U.S. domestic labor demand for artificial intelligence skills equal or exceed 3.2% for December 2022?
1.102717
Apr 20, 2023 03:23PM UTC
What percentage of contributions to Github's "very high impact" AI projects will be from China in 2022?
0.636541
Apr 20, 2023 03:20PM UTC
How many European Union countries will have an AI skill migration greater than 2 per 10,000 in 2022?
0.040236
Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM UTC
From April 2022 through March 2023, what will be the highest number of ACLED recorded protests/riots in a single calendar month in Lebanon?
0.162066
Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM UTC
How will the U.S. rank in AI skills penetration in 2022?
0.224231
Apr 17, 2023 04:00PM UTC
Which country or union will have the second most citations of "high impact" AI scientific publications in 2022?
-0.068712
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