-0.854474
Relative Brier Score
3
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
Yes
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
58%
Yes
I believe that European winter can intensify the conflict and the position of Poland during the war can to bring surprises.
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
55%
Less than $4.60
30%
More than or equal to $4.60 but less than $4.80
10%
More than or equal to $4.80 but less than $5.00
3%
More than or equal to $5.00 but less than $5.20
2%
More than or equal to $5.20
When I look at the time proposed in the question, it doesn't seem to me that we will have such a fast and volatile variation. It is possible, but not in such a short time
Files
I believe not enough time in deadline and the tensions in the regions difficult the negotiations.