Lots of people aren't going to simply sign up for this. When financial institutions require it, then people will sign up.
1.476733
Relative Brier Score
2
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
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Definitions |
New Prediction
How many people will have signed up for World ID on 1 September 2023?
Compare to me
Probability
Answer
100%
Less than 4 million
0%
More than or equal to 4 million but less than 6 million
0%
More than or equal to 6 million
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New Badge
My First Question
Congratulations on making your first forecast!
New Badge
Active Forecaster
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
100%
Yes
0%
No
Why do you think you're right?
They'll do this based upon pressure/demand from people wanting to know if they are consuming AI-driven content.
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Why might you be wrong?
AI-driven content may be so good that people don't care.
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