genidma

About:
Show more

-0.000695

Relative Brier Score

1

Forecasts

0

Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
 

Past Week Past Month Past Year This Season All Time
Forecasts 0 0 1 0 35
Comments 0 0 0 0 8
Questions Forecasted 0 0 1 0 25
Upvotes on Comments By This User 0 0 0 0 10
 Definitions
New Badge
genidma
earned a new badge:

Active Forecaster

New Prediction

Well, when the war in Ukraine first broke out (the war that is on-going), there were rumours that Vladimir Putin had died and that a body double was being deployed. I am not sure how accurate those news items were. 

Next, I do not follow the updates regularly. But General Petareus posts detailed updates on Linkedin. This was my primary means of staying up to date with what was going on in Ukraine. I have not done this for months. 

If Putin is still alive, then I think he will maintain his hold. What has been going on in Putin's mind and those of his direct supporters is the key and deeper question.

Because your question was very specific, hence I will refrain from commenting further. But I am also not an expert in Russian studies.

Thank you.

Files
Files
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username