Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in March 2024
-0.098192
Relative Brier Score
5
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
4%
(+1%)
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Putin can not be easily impeached
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
(0%)
Yes
Confirmed previous forecast
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
39%
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
It can not be wholly revoked as the war has not subsided
Files
Why might you be wrong?
There may an eventful incident that could turn around things in a short time
Files
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
2%
Less than 20
19%
Between 20 and 29, inclusive
59%
Between 30 and 39, inclusive
20%
Between 40 and 49, inclusive
0%
More than or equal to 50
Why do you think you're right?
It is likely to be a normal distribution
Files
Why might you be wrong?
The assumption may be wrong.
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
3%
Yes
He is the current President
Files
Why do you think you're right?
The intension ot today's researchers and scientists is awesome and with the speed of light effort is made to find breaktaking innovations.
Why might you be wrong?
There might be some unforseen issues that might impede it from publishing some their works in 2023