Won election
-0.000078
Relative Brier Score
3
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
New Prediction
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
99%
(+98%)
Yes
Why do you think you're right?
Files
Why might you be wrong?
Opposition exists
Files
New Badge
New Prediction
Probability
Answer
1%
Yes
He has been there a long time. No real other options
Files
Why do you think you're right?
Won election
Why might you be wrong?
Opposition exists