The PRC too many domestic hurdles to engage in military adventurism.
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This forecast expired on Mar 17, 2024 12:22AM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
2%
Yes
Feb 17, 2024 to Aug 17, 2024
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6%
Yes
Lack of viable opposition or alternative. Russian apathy.
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Huwei is tied to PRC industrial policy and this equipment sector is part of PRC interests.