164th
Accuracy Rank

margaretelam

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Forecasted Questions

By 31 December 2024, will uranium enriched to 90% or more be discovered in an Iranian facility, according to the IAEA?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 14, 2023 07:48PM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 14% 1%
No 86% 99%

Will any of the following countries recognize Israel’s statehood by 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
2 Forecasts
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 22, 2023 02:27AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Kuwait 2% 1%
Oman 4% 2%
Qatar 5% 1%
Saudi Arabia 4% 2%
Tunisia 4% 1%

Will a JCPOA participant country begin the process of imposing “snapback” sanctions on Iran by 31 December 2024?

Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Jan 01, 2025 05:00AM UTC
(2 months from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Aug 22, 2023 02:29AM UTC
(1 year ago)
Answer Your Forecast Current Consensus
Yes 10% 1%
No 90% 99%
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