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Date Ended Question Relative Brier Score
Jun 01, 2021 06:44PM UTC Will the Chinese People's Liberation Army invade Taiwan by May 31, 2021? -0.00025
Apr 10, 2021 03:56AM UTC How many times will the Japanese Air Force respond to threats to Japan's territorial airspace by Chinese military aircraft between April 1, 2020 and March 31, 2021, inclusive? 0.039411
Mar 18, 2021 06:27PM UTC What percentage of software engineer job postings between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive, will allow for remote work? -0.012933
Feb 05, 2021 05:35PM UTC What will total U.S. trade volume with China (imports and exports of goods) be in 2020? -0.007445
Feb 01, 2021 02:48PM UTC How much funding will private U.S. tech companies raise between July 1 and December 31, 2020, inclusive? 0.287194
Nov 03, 2020 05:49PM UTC Will China add a U.S. company to its Unreliable Entities List by November 2, 2020? -0.013386
Nov 03, 2020 02:25PM UTC Will any private messages obtained in the July 15, 2020 Twitter hack be leaked to the public by November 2, 2020? 0.642459
Oct 31, 2020 03:04PM UTC What will the combined revenue of Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft be in the third quarter of 2020 (ending September 30)? -0.034185
Oct 21, 2020 02:47PM UTC What percentage of O-1 visas will go to Chinese nationals between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive? 0.100328
Oct 20, 2020 01:16PM UTC How many postings for U.S. jobs requiring machine learning skills will be published between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive? 0.044174
Oct 15, 2020 04:00AM UTC Will the United States add SMIC to the Entity List by October 14, 2020? -0.057225
Oct 01, 2020 06:17PM UTC How many AI papers will be posted on arXiv between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive? -0.020719
Oct 01, 2020 02:37PM UTC What percentage of U.S. news articles about facial recognition will have a negative framing between July 1 and September 30, 2020, inclusive? -0.099014
Oct 01, 2020 04:00AM UTC Will the Chinese military or other maritime security forces fire upon another country's civil or military vessel in the South China Sea by September 30, 2020? 0.006063
Sep 15, 2020 03:59AM UTC Will the U.S. Justice Department file an antitrust lawsuit against Google by September 14, 2020? -0.006258
Sep 13, 2020 06:54PM UTC Will Microsoft announce an agreement to purchase TikTok service in the United States by September 15, 2020? -0.028503
Sep 01, 2020 01:31PM UTC Will either China or the United States withdraw from their January 2020 trade truce by August 31, 2020? 0.152755
Aug 16, 2020 03:59AM UTC What percentage of U.S. news articles about AI will be about privacy and security between June 15 and August 15, 2020, inclusive? 0.021888
Aug 11, 2020 03:59AM UTC Will the Chinese government add Apple, Qualcomm, Cisco, or Boeing to its 'unreliable entities list' by August 10, 2020? 0.151077
Aug 01, 2020 03:59AM UTC Will Germany, France, Italy, or Spain announce any new restrictions on the use of Huawei equipment in their 5G networks by July 31, 2020? 0.072088
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