There is no precedent for this.
-0.002615
Relative Brier Score
2
Forecasts
0
Upvotes
Forecasting Activity
Forecasting Calendar
No forecasts in the past 3 months
| Past Week | Past Month | Past Year | This Season | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forecasts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Comments | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Questions Forecasted | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Upvotes on Comments By This User | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Definitions | |||||
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This forecast expired on Sep 11, 2023 04:16PM
Probability
Answer
Forecast Window
10%
Yes
Aug 11, 2023 to Feb 11, 2024
Files
The way the political situation has evolved in Israel has updated me downwards on the possibility of attack.