Forecasted Questions
Will there be an agreed-upon pause in the conflict between Israel and Hamas that starts before 1 December 2024 and lasts at least 30 days?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Dec 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(7 days from now)
Dec 01, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(7 days from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 13, 2024 05:35PM UTC
(9 months ago)
Feb 13, 2024 05:35PM UTC
(9 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 74% | 8% | +66% | -51% |
| No | 26% | 92% | -66% | +51% |
By 31 December 2024, will Microsoft announce that its AI Research Lab in China is closing or being relocated?
Forecast Count:
1 Forecast
1 Forecast
Question Ends:
Dec 30, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Dec 30, 2024 05:00AM UTC
(1 month from now)
Forecast Last Updated:
Feb 13, 2024 05:55PM UTC
(9 months ago)
Feb 13, 2024 05:55PM UTC
(9 months ago)
| Answer | Your Forecast | Current Consensus | Difference from Consensus | Change in Consensus Since Last Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 22% | 5% | +17% | -1% |
| No | 78% | 95% | -17% | +1% |